Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia's new bombing campaign strangles Ukrainian economy
A fresh wave of Russian attacks in the south-western city of Odesa has cut off ports and prevented the export of grain
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%