Geopolitical··Severity 8
UK ‘threatens to expel 27 Israeli diplomats’ over Jerusalem consulate
Israel ordered East Jerusalem consulate to be closed after Britain sanctioned settlements in the occupied West Bank.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%