Military··Severity 8
Senior Iranian military officer says US forces have moved 1,000 km away from Iran
According to Rear Admiral Ali Fadavi, for the first time ever, US warships were absent from the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, the Gulf of Oman, and the northern Indian Ocean
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
68%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%