Geopolitical··Severity 8
Saudi Aramco chief warns world’s oil stockpiles are ‘scarily thin’
Amin Nasser says inventories depleted by Middle East conflict could take up to two years to rebuild
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%