Natural··Severity 7
Trump says US ready to aid Russia with plague outbreak in Siberia
Russian authorities quarantine hospital, monitor 200 contacts after suspected pneumonic plague death in Siberia.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%