Military··Severity 9
Estonia shifts troops closer to Russia in ‘active defence’ push
Baltic state prepares to carry out deep strikes inside its neighbour if it is attacked
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%