Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia rejects NATO infrastructure deployment in Afghanistan — top diplomat
History shows that such presence is fraught with destabilization and conflict escalation, Sergey Lavrov stated
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%