Military··Severity 8
Kiev loses up to 10,000 troops, mercenaries over week — military expert
Andrey Marochko added that Russian servicemen destroyed approximately 5,000 Ukrainian drones, 17 vessels, 74 armored combat vehicles
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%