Natural··Severity 7
Nepal flood death toll tops 1,400, over 6,000 missing
Eleven Russians are on the Russian Embassy’s lists of missing persons
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
34%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%