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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Lebanon security talks in Paris to focus on post-UNIFIL alternatives

The security talks come as Israeli forces continue attacks across southern Lebanon despite a "ceasefire".

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

56%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%