Geopolitical··Severity 8
Ukraine has exhausted resources to continue war, expert says
The authorities should have a "self-preservation instinct" to begin looking for ways out of the conflict, Alexey Kushch said
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%