Military··Severity 8
Putin says Europe is 'preparing for war'
As the West continues to denounce Russian aggression in Ukraine and to support Kyiv with a host of economic and military measures, Russian President Vladimir Putin says that Nato is expanding its reach and influence with the intention of preparing for war with Russia.
Analysis by Dr Alexander Titov, lecturer in Modern European History at Queen's University Belfast in the UK.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%