Ты видишь риск, которого нет в портфеле.
А видишь ли ты мир, который живёт без тебя? 8 эр. 4900 лет. Одна планета.
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Military··Severity 9

Morning recap

Morning recap Good morning Middle East Eye readers, If you're just joining us, here are key developments: * US President Donald Trump has again said that the war with Iran could end soon, "probably right after the elections", while questioning who in Tehran Washington could negotiate with.

* Trump's top cabinet members met secretly at Camp David on Friday to discuss next steps in the Iran war and the Saudi-Houthi conflict in Yemen, Axios reported, citing three US officials familiar with the matter.

* Yemen’s armed forces say they carried out 71 attacks targeting Houthi gatherings, reinforcements and military buildups across several areas of Taiz province, Al Jazeera reported.

* The death toll from an Israeli strike on an apartment in Gaza City has risen to five, Palestinian medical sources have told Al Jazeera.

* The co-pilot of flydubai flight FZ1073 attempted to carry out a "terrorist" attack during the flight, the United Arab Emirates prosecutor general said on Saturday, according to the state news agency WAM.

* Israeli settlers killed 19-year-old Palestinian Bahaa Sami Amin Nathsheh in Kobar, north of the occupied West Bank city of Ramallah, Palestinian news agency Wafa reported, citing the health ministry.

* Debris from a ballistic missile that was shot down in Saudi Arabia's Ahad Rafidah Governorate in the Asir region injured a resident, according to the Saudi Directorate of Civil Defence.

* Two Iranian nationals were charged in Britain with preparing a terrorist attack against the Jewish community in northern England, police said on Friday.

* The master of a crude oil tanker has reported being struck by an unknown projectile 4 nautical miles east of Oman, ⁠according to the United Kingdom ​Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO).

* Green Party leader Zack Polanski has called for Palestine Action to be de-proscribed, SkyNews reported.

* A source close to the UAE government has accused the Israeli government of exploiting the flydubai incident for political purposes and delaying the restoration of flydubai service, according to Ynet.

* The United States has issued sanctions against three individuals and two France-based charities that it said were part of a network that raised more than $2 million for Hamas, and announced six arrests.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

80%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Middle East Eye

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%