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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Israel prepared to ‘finish job’ in Gaza and remove Palestinians, minister says

Israel’s defence minister said Wednesday it was only a matter of time before the country resumes full-scale war in Gaza and moves to force out its 2 million Palestinians.

Israel Katz, who is known for outspoken remarks, was responding to criticism from another right-wing contender ahead of October 27 elections.

Katz said 70 per cent of Gaza had already been emptied of its population in the Israeli offensive launched after the October 7, 2023 attack by Hamas. He said that an October 2025...

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

67%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: South China Morning Post

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%