Economic··Severity 7
US Federal Reserve hikes interest rates for the first time in three years
The US central bank raised its benchmark rate by. 25 percent, with new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh defying President Donald Trump's desire for lower rates.
Consumer banks and bond markets react. Also, OpenAI reveals new incidents of AI misconduct as fears grow that the technology could escape human control.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
43%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%