Geopolitical··Severity 9
North Korean Defense Ministry warns US, South Korea of possible use of nukes — news agency
Threats involving attacks and the use of weapons of mass destruction against our state by enemies can be considered the most serious security challenge
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
74%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%