Economic··Severity 7
Ukraine may lose up to 6.8% of GDP in 2027 amid continued hostilities
Ukrainian Finance Ministry officials warn of an exacerbating energy crisis, export issues and labor shortages due to people fleeing the country and ongoing mobilization
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
47%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%