S9/10Military

Airlines should still avoid airspace over Iran, EU agency warns

Airlines should still avoid airspace over Iran, EU agency warns Airlines should continue to avoid the airspace over Iran, Iraq and Lebanon and remain cautious across the region despite the framework deal between Washington and Tehran, because violations remained possible, the EU aviation safety agency EASA said. EASA said on Wednesday it was extending its conflict-zone advisory for the region until July 1. Short-term violations of the US-Iran ceasefire remain possible, in particular in and around the Strait of Hormuz and neighbouring airspace, the agency said. The agency also flagged the fragile ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, creating the potential for military activity impacting the airspace of Lebanon. EASA said all operators must exercise caution and take potential risks into account when operating within the airspace of Bahrain, Kuwait, Israel, Jordan, Qatar, Oman, the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

24 Jun 2026, 08:19 UTCSource: Middle East EyeOriginal source

Click a tag to subscribe via email/Telegram (manage channels in Account).

⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация84% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Confirmation indicators

  • Increased military activity in the Middle East: Reports of increased naval exercises or drone strikes near Strait of Hormuz. Public statements from high
  • ranking officials: Declarations by Iranian or Israeli leaders threatening further action if their demands are not met. Spike in air traffic over the region: Unusual increase in flight paths and routes, potentially indicating heightened tension and potential for c
Horizon: 7–30 days