S7/10Economic

US waives Iran oil sanctions as part of 60-day peace negotiations

The United States temporarily waived sanctions on Iranian oil exports on Monday, opening the door for Tehran to return to global energy markets as negotiations between the two countries continue. In this edition, we look at the impact this has had on oil prices, while also examining major job cuts at Oracle linked to AI-driven restructuring and a sharp sell-off in technology stocks that's rippled from Wall Street to Asian and European markets.

23 Jun 2026, 09:17 UTCSource: France24Original source

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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация51% model probability

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Confirmation indicators

  • Увеличение объемов торгов на нефтерынках США и Европы. Повышение уровня напряженности в отношениях между США и Ираном. Time horizon: 2
Horizon: 7–30 days