S8/10Military
Centers of influence shifting to Greater Eurasia, Global South — CIS secretary general
Sergey Lebedev emphasized that Western attempts to spread NATO’s influence to the east, reckless expansion of military infrastructure towards the borders of the CIS states and dismantling of arms control treaties turn Europe into a permanent crisis zone
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⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация— 82% model probability
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Horizon: 7–30 days