S7/10Economic

Traders Boost Fed Funds Shorts in Risky July Rate-Hike Wager

Traders in the fed funds market are ramping up bets that the Federal Reserve will start raising interest rates as soon as July, a previously unthinkable move that risks being derailed by a series of economic data.

30 Jun 2026, 20:30 UTCSource: Bloomberg MarketsOriginal source
⚠️ This is a probabilistic forecast, not a guarantee. Accuracy is measured only on resolved scenarios; monitor confirmation indicators below.
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Эскалация38% model probability

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Horizon: 7–30 days