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S7/10Economic

Fed holds US interest rates steady as uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal remains

The Federal Reserve held rates between 3.5% and 3.75% after Kevin Warsh's first meeting in charge of the central bank.

Source: BBC BusinessOriginal source

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⚠️ A model estimate of cascade risk — not a guarantee and not buy/sell. Calibration uses resolved outcomes only; monitor confirmation indicators below.
A
Эскалация

Uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal leads to increased geopolitical tensions, triggering market volatility and potentially escalating trade conflicts. This could lead to a surge in oil prices, impacting global energy markets. The US dollar might strengthen against other currencies as investors seek safe haven assets. Confirmation Indicators: Escalation of rhetoric by US and Iranian officials regarding the Iran deal; significant increase in t

Horizon: 7–30 days
B
Статус-кво

Uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal leads to increased geopolitical tensions, triggering market volatility and potentially escalating trade conflicts. This could lead to a surge in oil prices, impacting global energy markets. The US dollar might strengthen against other currencies as investors seek safe haven assets. Confirmation Indicators: Escalation of rhetoric by US and Iranian officials regarding the Iran deal; significant increase in t

Horizon: 7–30 days
C
Деэскалация

Uncertainty over Trump's Iran deal leads to increased geopolitical tensions, triggering market volatility and potentially escalating trade conflicts. This could lead to a surge in oil prices, impacting global energy markets. The US dollar might strengthen against other currencies as investors seek safe haven assets. Confirmation Indicators: Escalation of rhetoric by US and Iranian officials regarding the Iran deal; significant increase in t

Horizon: 7–30 days

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