Rebuking Trump, US Senate joins House in vote to end Iran war
The US Senate backed legislation on Tuesday directing US President Donald Trump to halt US military action against Iran, the latest rebuke of the Republican president from an increasingly restive Congress. The Senate voted 50-48 in favour of the war powers resolution, which passed the House of Representatives early this month, reflecting growing concern even among some of Trump’s Republicans about the unpopular conflict that began on February 28 when the US and Israel launched an attack on...
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Сценарий А (Эскалация) - 50% В случае эскалации ситуация может worsen, что приведет к увеличению tensions между США и Ираном. Это может привести к еще большим военными действиям и потенциально даже к конфликту.
Confirmation indicators
- ◆Увеличение rhetoric от обеих сторон
- ◆Появление новых санкций Time horizon: 2