Economic · Economic

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Oil Price Today (June 16): Crude oil rebounds after 5% plunge as traders await US-Iran peace deal details. Where are prices headed?

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The rebound followed a sharp selloff on Monday, when oil prices tumbled nearly 5% to their lowest closing level since March 4. The decline came after U. S. S. President Donald Trump announced that a memorandum of understanding had been agreed to end the U. -Israeli war with Iran.

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Economic · Economic

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Europe signs off on long-awaited US tariff deal

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The European Union and the United States on Tuesday gave a final sign off to a long awaited tariff deal as the EU seeks to close a volatile chapter of transatlantic trade relations. The deal puts the bloc well on track to meet Trump's July 4 deadline and defuse his threat of new tariffs on European vehicles.

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Economic · Economic

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Global Market Today: Asian markets temper Iran deal optimism, BOJ decision in view

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Asian stocks saw a modest rise, following a rally on news of a peace deal between Iran and the U. S. Investors are now focused on central bank decisions, including an anticipated rate hike from the Bank of Japan. Oil prices remained cautious, reflecting ongoing concerns about transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

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Economic · Economic

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EU carbon tariff sows havoc in China as steel firms grapple with ‘absurd’ rules

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As trade tensions between Beijing and Brussels continue to rise, China’s firms in the European Union have been forced to walk a delicate tightrope: expanding their presence in the lucrative market while grappling with heightened regulatory hurdles and rapid geopolitical shifts. In the first part of this three-part series, we look at a new, complex EU carbon tariff system that has business owners scratching their heads. Neil Miao has been exporting metal hardware to Europe for years. But earlier...

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Economic · Economic

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US stocks: US market rallies, Dow ends with record on US-Iran deal, oil price slide

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Wall Street indexes surged Monday, with the Dow hitting a record high following a preliminary US-Iran agreement that eased inflation fears and sent oil prices plummeting. This relief rally boosted rate-sensitive tech stocks and energy-dependent sectors like airlines, while the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy update remains a key focus.

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Economic · Economic

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Ivanhoe Electric CEO on Copper's Tariff Test

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Copper rallies as the U. S. and Iran strike an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, easing a key risk for commodity markets. Ivanhoe Electric CEO Taylor Melvin joins "Bloomberg Open Interest" to discuss the outlook for the metal ahead of President Trump's decision on copper tariffs. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Economic · Economic

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After US-Iran accord and oil-price plunge, analysts warn of ‘grey area’ for Chinese firms

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As plunging oil prices signal broad market optimism following an initial deal between the United States and Iran, attention has turned to whether Chinese firms sanctioned for Iran-related business will see immediate relief, though analysts remain cautious. “New purchases of Iranian oil ostensibly wouldn’t be subject to fresh sanctions, but at the same time, I imagine we won’t see a rush to lift existing sanctions on Chinese importers of Iranian oil,” said Lynn Song, chief economist for Greater...

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Economic · Economic

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Warsh Caught Between Trump, Bond Market Bet on Rate Hikes

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Just three weeks into the job, Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is already facing an unusually high-stakes test. Inflation is roaring back at the fastest pace in three years. There’s growing dissent among the central bank’s policymakers. And investors have been dumping US Treasury bonds and piling into bets the Fed will need to start raising rates by December, defying President Trump’s call to lower them instead. We look ahead to this week's FOMC decision with Rebecca Patterson, Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations & former Chief Investment Strategist at Bridgewater Associates. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Economic · Economic

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As short-sellers circle the yen, a repeat of 1997 Asian crisis looms

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Japan is falling into a trap in defending its currency against the US dollar, like Thailand in 1996. Japan’s large forex reserves make the yen a juicy target, rather than deterring currency predators. Its fundamentals are weak and deteriorating, making the yen’s further decline inevitable. Japan can’t raise interest rates aggressively to defend its currency due to its high national debt. It could fall into an inflation-devaluation spiral, greatly profiting yen short-sellers. The yen is trading...

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Economic · Economic

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Bond Market Reacts Cautiously to Iran Deal

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Kelsey Berro, Fixed Income Portfolio Manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, discussed the bond market's response following the recent Iran deal. While there is somewhat more clarity compared to earlier in the week, investors are awaiting the full text of the agreement to fully assess its implications. Despite a significant drop in oil prices, Treasury yields have declined only modestly, reflecting caution due to upcoming event risks, particularly the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. (Source: Bloomberg)

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Economic · Economic

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Hong Kong tightens labour importation scheme with tougher hiring rules, penalties

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Hong Kong authorities will tighten the regulations governing a labour importation scheme by introducing a two-tier vetting system and raising the maximum penalty for non-compliant employers, with the new arrangements taking effect on Tuesday. Following a review of the Enhanced Supplementary Labour Scheme (ESLS), the Labour Department announced on Monday that the system would distinguish between general applications and sectors with shortages. The long-awaited move to amend the legal regime...

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Economic · Economic

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Rajesh Exports shares jump 5% after 30% crash in 7 days. How the alleged Rs 15.15 lakh cr fraud saga unfolded

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Rajesh Exports shares hit the upper circuit after a steep seven-session decline triggered by SEBI’s interim order alleging large-scale revenue inflation. The company denied overstating revenue, attributed the issue to a reporting misunderstanding, and said it is cooperating fully while submitting supporting documents.

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Economic · Economic

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Why a Rs 72,000 crore fund manager refuses to chase power and defence rally now

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ICICI Prudential's Mittul Kalawadia advises caution on current market valuations. He notes that future growth is already factored into stock prices, limiting safety for new investments. Kalawadia highlights attractive opportunities in banking, select discretionary consumption, pharmaceuticals, and manufactured goods exporters. He also discusses the IT sector's potential disruption by AI and the importance of position sizing.

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Economic · Economic

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Gold gains over 1% after US, Iran reach peace deal

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Gold prices surged over 1% as U. S. and Iranian officials announced a peace deal to end their conflict, halt the U. S. S. blockade, and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This development eased inflation and higher interest rate concerns, pushing oil prices down and reducing the likelihood of a December U.

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Economic · Economic

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Emerging market bets split as global rate paths diverge

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Investors are changing their strategies in emerging markets. Central banks in Indonesia, Hungary, and Poland are making different moves on interest rates. Traders are watching decisions in the US and Japan. Brazil is expected to cut rates, while Chile may hold steady. This divergence is driven by varied inflation and central bank credibility.

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Economic · Economic

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Fed and BoE stay guarded after 100 days of Iran war

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Global central banks are poised to maintain current interest rates this week. The Iran war's impact on inflation and growth remains a key concern. Policymakers are waiting for more data. The Bank of Japan is expected to raise rates. Norway's decision is a close call. The US Federal Reserve and its peers are likely to hold steady.

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