All events

economic · economic

Fund managers including Invesco Ltd., Ninety One UK Ltd., Rathbones Asset Management Ltd. and W1M Group Ltd. have soured on UK government debt this year as worries about inflation and political instability prompt them to look elsewhere.

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Empty supertankers are heading to Egypt’s Mediterranean port of Sidi Kerir to collect Saudi crude as observable traffic at the kingdom’s key Red Sea export hub dwindles following threats from Houthi militants.

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India has been spared the worst of Washington’s latest tariff action, but analysts say much work still needs to be done to secure a long-awaited US trade deal despite the lower-than-expected levy. The Trump administration’s fresh round of tariffs, unveiled last week, targeted 60 economies it accuses of failing to curb imports made with forced labour. As late as last month, India was being threatened with a 12.5 per cent rate, but ultimately earned a place among the 17 economies – including...

economic · economic

Officials fear that measures restricting alumina exports to Russia would threaten bloc’s aluminium supply chain

economic · economic

Australia’s central bank chief said there are signs the economy is adjusting as anticipated, though it’s still unclear if this year’s interest-rate hikes are enough to return inflation to target or whether additional tightening will be needed.

economic · economic

China-Africa trade reached a record 1.41 trillion yuan ($197 billion) in the first half of 2026, with imports from Africa rising sharply after China introduced zero-tariff treatment for all African countries that have diplomatic ties with it, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson Lin Jian said on Monday.

economic · economic

Indian stocks and currency surged significantly on Monday after crude oil prices collapsed. The BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty both saw substantial gains, reflecting renewed investor confidence. The Indian rupee climbed against the US dollar, nearing its all-time low from the previous week. Lower crude oil prices are beneficial for India, easing inflation and current account pressures.

economic · economic

India has attracted nearly $32 billion in foreign capital since the RBI announced special inflow measures on June 5, Governor Sanjay Malhotra said. FCNR(B) deposits have already exceeded the 2013 record, but strong dollar demand linked to costly oil imports and weak exporter hedging continues to keep the rupee near record lows.

economic · economic

Gold held a gain after President Donald Trump said the US and Iran were in talks to end the war that’s stoked inflationary concerns and raised the likelihood of higher interest rates.

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Citadel Securities expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week — a surprise move strengthening Chairman Kevin Warsh’s credibility in the battle with inflation.

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Chinese President Xi Jinping and Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva agreed on Sunday night to accelerate negotiations for a trade agreement between China and Mercosur, a striking reversal for Brasilia, which for years led resistance to such a deal in the South American bloc. The two leaders spoke by telephone for more than an hour, according to a statement from the Brazilian presidency, and “coincided on the importance of speeding up the talks for a Mercosur-China agreement that...

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The US president is moving his signature trade policy into a new phase

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Due to Russian pressure on Ukraine's maritime corridor, Ukrainian traders have begun redirecting some of their wheat and other cargo towards the Danube, though most exporters are not prepared to compensate for the loss of the sea route at any cost and are taking a wait-and-see approach.

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US state and local government debt hit its cheapest level since the spring, after inflation fears caused municipal bonds to see their worst week of returns since April 2025.

economic · economic

Today, I’m talking with Evan Smith, who is cofounder and CEO of Altana, a company that develops software tools to manage big, messy supply chain networks around the world. We last had Evan on in early 2025 to talk about how Trump’s first few waves of tariffs were starting to affect global trade and what […]

economic · economic

Shares of meatpackers Tyson Foods Inc. and JBS NV surged after the US said it would resume cattle shipments from Mexico, easing a domestic shortage that has led to higher costs for their animals.

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Citigroup Inc.’s traders are betting the Federal Reserve will leave rates unchanged this week, even as the swap markets assign a more than one-in-three chance of a quarter-point hike.

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European leaders are calling for more technology supply chain independence for security reasons

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US Treasuries edged higher as oil prices softened after the US paused its nearly two-week campaign of strikes against Iran, while traders eyed a roughly one-in-three chance of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike on Wednesday.

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US stock futures rallied as oil prices slid with the US pausing strikes against Iran and tankers sailing for a recently-disrupted Kazakh export terminal, easing supply pressures.

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Bond yields have have surged going into Wednesday’s central bank decision.

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India’s central bank sold dollars in the local currency market, propelling the rupee to its best gain in over a month, according to traders familiar with the transactions.

economic · economic

Malaysia has won a small victory in Washington’s tariff wars, securing a 10 per cent rate that leaves it better placed than four of its Southeast Asian neighbours in the scramble for US orders. Economists warn the narrow advantage may prove fleeting, however, as it hinges on Kuala Lumpur fulfilling its promised trade reforms. The new duties, which fall under Section 301 of the US Trade Act and took effect on Friday, keep Malaysia in the lower tier of a new American tariff regime alongside...

economic · economic

The first US liquefied natural gas shipment to China in more than a year will be re-exported, as the local companies involved look to tap higher profits overseas and avoid paying tariffs, according to people with knowledge of the matter.

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Singapore tightened monetary policy on Monday for the second time in three months, as the fallout from the US war against Iran keeps global energy markets volatile and inflation risks elevated. The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said it would increase the rate of appreciation of the local dollar’s trade-weighted value. The move comes as oil prices remain elevated owing to tensions in the Middle East, sparked by the US-Israel attacks on Iran that began on February 28, and continue to cast...

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Consumer inflation has undershot expectations for three successive months

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Global markets saw oil prices fall and stocks rise as US and Iran paused retaliatory strikes. The dollar weakened against peers while Treasuries gained as inflation concerns receded. Traders now await Federal Reserve interest rate decisions and tech company earnings reports. Central banks globally will emphasize vigilance over higher energy prices impacting inflation. Singapore tightened monetary policy, strengthening its dollar against the US currency.

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New Zealand’s dollar is set to rise to the strongest in more than a year against the euro due to expectations the local central bank will outpace its European peer in raising interest rates, according to strategists.

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Bond traders enter the week seeing a better than one-in-three chance that the Federal Reserve hikes interest rates on Wednesday after flaring Middle East tensions lifted oil prices, boosting inflation worries and yields.

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The latest round of US tariffs, ranging from 10% to 12.5% on imports from most trading partners, has triggered widespread criticism, with countries accusing Washington of unilateralism and warning that the measures could hurt American consumers and disrupt global trade.