Geopolitical··Severity 8
Poland scrambles jets and closes airports due to Russian attacks on Ukraine's west
Poland halted operations at Rzeszów and Lublin airports and raised air defence readiness as Russian strike drones targeted Ukraine's western regions bordering Poland.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
71%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%