Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia ‘sabotaging’ power supply lines at Zaporizhzhia plant: Greenpeace
Investigation finds no evidence of Russia's claims that Ukrainian attacks hit the nuclear power plant.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%