Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Trump says US nearing end of war, claims Tehran direct talks
President Trump says the US is nearing the end of the conflict with Iran and claims direct talks with Tehran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%