Geopolitical··Severity 8
US likely committed war crimes against Iranian civilians: Independent experts
Independent investigators appointed by the UN’s Human Rights Council found “reasonable grounds” to believe that the United States committed war crimes during “indiscriminate attacks” against an Iranian school and residential area.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: UN News
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%