Natural··Severity 9
Climate change was key factor in deadly Nepal-China flood, scientists say
Researchers said the flood was caused by a "compound crisis" shaped by long-term warming, glacier retreat, permafrost thaw and geological instability. A 2015 earthquake is also thought to have played a role.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%