Geopolitical··Severity 8
AUKUS development to undermine stability in Asia-Pacific, Russian diplomat warns
"All this activity, which indicates fairly clear prospects of nuclear weapons emerging in Australia, creates conditions for Canberra’s involvement in schemes and practices of joint nuclear missions similar to those of NATO," Andrey Belousov noted
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
63%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%