Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran flights to Baghdad, Muscat cancelled ahead of US aviation sanctions
Iran's aviation officials negotiate with Oman and Iraq as US's Bessent targets carriers seven months into the conflict.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%