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Military··Severity 9

IAEA Says Iran Nuclear Oversight Can Resume Fast

IAEA Director General Rafael Mariano Grossi sat down with David Gura and said that Iran retains a significant amount of uranium enriched to 60%, while inspectors have lost access needed to verify the status of nuclear material and facilities damaged by military strikes.

Grossi also says inspections could resume quickly if there is political will for a new agreement, while also discussing his campaign to become the next UN secretary-general. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

79%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%