Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russia attacks Ukraine with Zircon, Iskander missiles and nearly 300 drones
Ukraine's Air Force says Russia launched 282 drones and eight missiles overnight, with strikes recorded at 13 locations and Odesa and Kyiv oblasts among the main targets.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%