Economic··Severity 7
Global Market Today: Asian stocks waver as oil gains fuel inflation, rate concerns
Government bonds in Japan, Australia and New Zealand retreated, following declines in Treasuries during the New York session.
Weak demand at a $70 billion sale of US five-year notes pushed the yield above 5% for the first time since 2007.
The 10-year yield surged 15 basis points to 5.11%, the biggest one-day increase since the market turmoil triggered by President Donald Trump’s April 2025 tariff announcement.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
42%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Economic Times
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%