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Military··Severity 8

US and China Vie For AI Lead Before Trump- Xi Summit

Less than a week before Chinese leader Xi Jinping travels to the US to meet President Donald Trump, AI has taken center stage in the bilateral relationship. In some ways the rivalry is straightforward.

Most benchmarks show American models have a lead in performance that Washington very much wants to maintain, for military and economic reasons.

Anja Manuel, Aspen Strategy Group Executive Director joins to discuss the upcoming meeting between the two leaders as well as what to expect from the UN General Assembly next week. (Source: Bloomberg)

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

69%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%