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Economic··Severity 7

India warns new US tariffs over Russian oil could impact ties

New Delhi says it has 'made clear' its determination to 'protect its trade and economic interests'.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

47%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Al Jazeera

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%