Catalogue

Scenario archive

Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Депутат Рады заявила , что экс - министр обороны Украины может свергнуть Зеленского

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

الرصاصة الأولى والغموض الوجودي : قراءة تفكيكية لجدل الرعاية الإسلاموية وحدود الضبط العسكري في حرب أبريل السودانية

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Зеленський звільнив Сирського , але не заспокоїв вулицю The Guardian / vlasti . net

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Rubio meets Russia Lavrov as US bid to help end war in Ukraine

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Rubio meets Russia Lavrov , tries to revive helping end war in Ukraine – NBC4 Washington

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Войной с Ираном США разбомбили свой военный бюджет

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Dieci anni fa Euromaidan cambiò la storia dellUcraina

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Rubio meets Russia Lavrov in Manila to try to revive prospect of US helping end war in Ukraine

August 2, 2026

Economicseverity 7

Gulf oil producers race to build alternative routes to the Strait of Hormuz

Gulf oil producers are spending billions of dollars on pipelines designed to route crude around the Strait of Hormuz, as Iran's grip on the waterway drags on and the region's most important export artery remains precarious.

August 2, 2026

Socialseverity 6

Kiev deliberately targets homes, civilian facilities — Russia’s top investigator

Alexander Bastrykin said the enemy sought to intimidate civilians and inflict serious damage

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

10 Best Meal Delivery Services, Tested by an Ex-Restaurant Critic

Here are the best delivery services and meal kits in 2026, including Martha Stewart’s meal service, a GLP-1–supportive plan, and a budget-friendly option.

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Reuters: US intelligence investigating Russia's role in Iranian attacks on CIA facilities

Reuters has learned from sources familiar with the activities of US intelligence agencies that the US is investigating whether Russia may have helped Iran carry out strikes on CIA facilities in the Gulf region.

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Saudi Arabia's nuclear program to be peaceful — Rubio

According to the US secretary of state, the partnership between Saudi Arabia and the United States provides for relevant safeguards

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Could Iran become America's next 'forever war'?

The ceasefire has collapsed, attacks are escalating and shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains under threat. Is the US drifting into another open-ended conflict with no clear way out?

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Rubio says Iran ‘begging’ for a deal with US but not ready to make one

Secretary of state says US has 'a head for an eye' policy as strikes hit Iran for a 12th straight night.

August 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 6

Israeli army shoots two Palestinians in occupied West Bank

Israeli army shoots two Palestinians in occupied West Bank Two Palestinians were shot by Israeli troops after an Israeli settler was stabbed in the occupied West Bank. The Palestinian Red Crescent announced that its "crews are dealing with two injuries from live fire during an Israeli raid on the town of Beit Furik." The settler was severely wounded, according to Israeli media reports. After the incident, the Israeli army announced that it had imposed checkpoints around the Palestinian town of Beit Furik in Nablus Governorate.

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

UK mosques attacked once every five days in last year, amid rising Islamophobia

UK mosques attacked once every five days in last year, amid rising Islamophobia Submitted by MEE staff on Thu, 07/23/2026 - 10:18 More than 70 mosque attacks were recorded as Muslim communities struggled to access state security funding People outside the East London Mosque in Tower Hamlets, London on 9 August 2024 (AFP/Henry Nicholls) Off A mosque is attacked in the UK every five days, new figures have revealed, as Muslim leaders accuse the government of failing to respond with sufficient urgency to rising Islamophobia. The British Muslim Trust (BMT), the government’s partner for monitoring anti-Muslim hatred, recorded more than 70 attacks against mosques over the past year. The incidents included violence, intimidation, vandalism, property damage, harassment, hate speech and online abuse. London, Greater Manchester and the West Midlands recorded the highest number of attacks. Nine separate incidents targeted mosques in London, while one mosque in Birmingham suffered three attacks within 12 months. The figures reflect a broader rise in hostility towards Muslims. Home Office data shows that anti-Muslim hate crime in England and Wales increased by 19 percent in the year to March 2025 – from 2,690 offences recorded in the 12 months to March 2024 to 3,199 offences in the year ending March 2025. “We are seeing a steady rise in the number of attacks against mosques, and we believe the government should be doing everything it can to help mosques protect themselves,” BMT chief executive Akeela Ahmed said. The UK government has pledged up to £40m ($53m) for security at mosques, Muslim schools and community centres during 2026-27. Mosques can apply for CCTV, alarms, fencing and security personnel. Muslim man stabbed more than 15 times in Islamophobic attack in Utah Read More » However, the BMT said bureaucratic barriers, unexplained rejections of concerns and delays of up to 18 months have left vulnerable communities without protection. Government guidance requires applicants to provide strong evidence that they face a threat. “A mosque is vulnerable purely because it’s a mosque. Currently, they’re waiting for months while living in fear of another attack because of the backlog. In many cases, police aren’t even responding to low-level incidents, leaving people frightened and vulnerable,” Ahmed said. The warning follows a series of concerning incidents across the UK. In Northern Ireland, anti-Islam activists placed a replica mosque on a bonfire. Earlier this month, a 14-year-old boy appeared in court over an offence linked to “extreme right-wing terrorism” after police uncovered a suspected plan to target two mosques in south London. A recent BMT and British Future study also found that one in six Britons viewed the growing Muslim population as a “foundational threat to UK culture”. Islamophobia News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Seoul drops ‘denuclearisation-first’ stance on Pyongyang

South Korea has abandoned its campaign prioritising pressure on the North to dismantle its nuclear weapons, a minister said on Thursday, marking a fresh overture by Seoul’s dovish government. President Lee Jae Myung has reversed the stance of his hawkish predecessor since taking power in Seoul in June 2025, offering nuclear-armed Pyongyang talks without preconditions. The hermetic leadership of North Korea has yet to respond to his repeated offers. But in a Thursday meeting with local reporters,...

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Ireland stresses Europe’s need for alumina amid spat over Russian-owned plant

European Commission weighs whether Aughinish Alumina factory in County Limerick should face sanctions

August 2, 2026

Naturalseverity 7

Venezuela earthquake death toll rises to 5,398

A total of 190 buildings were completely destroyed, and 856 sustained severe damage

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 8

Russians strike energy infrastructure in three Ukrainian oblasts

Russian attack on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure: which oblasts were affected – details in the report.

August 2, 2026

Militaryseverity 8

US after denuclearization, not regime change in Iran, Rubio says

The US secretary of state emphasized that Washington was focused on destroying Iran’s military capabilities

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 6

Three people killed, ten injured in Russians strike on Pavlohrad

Three people were killed and at least 10 were injured in a Russian strike on a food industry business in Pavlohrad.

August 2, 2026

Geopoliticalseverity 9

Nearly 1,500 killed in Ukrainian attacks across Russia since 2022 — top investigator

Alexander Bastrykin said the cases document artillery and missile strikes, drone attacks, and cross-border incursions carried out by Ukrainian nationalists

August 2, 2026

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