Catalogue
Scenario archive
Open feed of trigger events. Click a card to see the chain, A/B/C probabilities and the fact-check after the horizon resolves.
Cabinet reshuffle in Ukraine, economic challenges: key topics of new Kremlin briefing
The Kremlin is following what’s going on in and around Ukrainian politics amid the ongoing special military operation, Dmitry Peskov said
July 29, 2026
Silence isn’t golden for a world looking to Kevin Warsh’s Fed
Since being sworn in as US Federal Reserve chairman on May 22, Kevin Warsh has struck a distinctly hawkish tone. At his first press conference at the helm of the world’s most important central bank on June 17, Warsh made a solemn vow to curb inflation. He said members of the Fed’s interest rate-setting committee were “unambiguous and unanimous. This committee will deliver price stability”. Bond investors who questioned Warsh’s inflation-fighting credibility – given that he built his candidacy...
July 29, 2026
China is 'a critical long-term strategic challenge', EU ministers say
EU foreign ministers issued a joint assessment of the risks posed by China, warning that Beijing threatens not only the bloc’s economy but also its security, while highlighting the shared ambition of China and Russia to assert regional dominance.
July 29, 2026
Israeli opposition tops new poll as Netanyahu allies explore voting restrictions
Israeli opposition tops new poll as Netanyahu allies explore voting restrictions Submitted by MEE staff on Thu, 07/16/2026 - 11:31 PM's allies look to restrict flights into Israel potentially carrying anti-Netanyahu voters ahead of 27 October election Gadi Eizenkot, former Israeli army chief of staff, at the launch of the Yashar party's election campaign in Hod Hasharon, central Israel, on 30 June 2026 (Jack Guez/AFP) Off A bloc of Israeli parties seeking to remove Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would secure the narrowest possible parliamentary majority in October’s election, a new poll has found. The Channel 13 survey, broadcast on Wednesday, gave the opposition 61 of the Knesset’s 120 seats – the first major poll in more than a month to show the opposition capable of forming a government without relying on Palestinian -majority parties. The election will take place on 27 October. Former Israeli army chief Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party was projected to win 21 seats, placing it just behind Netanyahu’s Likud on 22. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett’s Together alliance would follow with 15 seats, while Yair Golan’s Democrats were forecast to win 11 and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu 10. A new alliance led by Yoaz Hendel and Chili Tropper would take the remaining four seats needed to give the opposition its majority. Netanyahu’s far-right and ultra-Orthodox coalition fell well short. United Torah Judaism was projected to receive eight seats, with Shas and National Security Minister Itamar Ben Gvir’s Jewish Power forecast to win seven each. Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism party was forecast to win six. Palestinian parties Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am would win five and four seats respectively, on this polling. Balad and former Defense Minister Benny Gantz’s Blue and White failed to cross the electoral threshold. Channel 13 did not disclose the poll’s sample size or margin of error. Despite opposing Netanyahu, Eisenkot's previous comments suggest little change in policy with regards to Gaza . In 2024, during the Gaza genocide, Eisenkot – then a member of Netanyahu’s war cabinet – discussed plans to withhold air from Palestinians while they were being starved by Israel. Netanyahu later implemented a plan that pushed Gaza's population into a famine. Netanyahu won't stop until all Arab political parties are gone Read More » The new poll results emerged as Netanyahu’s allies explored measures that could restrict access to the ballot. Haaretz reported that senior officials in Transportation Minister Miri Regev’s office discussed limiting incoming flights immediately before the election, including restricting charter services. Officials believed tens of thousands of Israelis living abroad could return to vote against Netanyahu. A Knesset committee also advanced a measure ending the provision of polling stations in retirement and assisted-living facilities. The change could affect up to 37,000 people – roughly the number of votes needed for one Knesset seat – from an age group that largely opposes Netanyahu. Successive polls indicate that his coalition could face defeat, although Israel’s fractured political system could still complicate efforts to remove him. Inside Israel News Post Date Override 0 Update Date Mon, 05/04/2020 - 21:19 Update Date Override 0
July 29, 2026
Thousands of Ukrainians protest against Zelenskyy’s firing of defence minister
Deputy air force commander resigns as president faces backlash over decision
July 29, 2026
Hormuz closure threatens renewed oil supply crunch
Also in today’s newsletter: New York’s data centre crackdown and the new era of critical mineral diplomacy
July 29, 2026
Trump administration slaps 25% tariff on Brazil as ties deteriorate
Levy is part of a deepening rift between Washington and Brasília ahead of South American presidential election
July 29, 2026
US Drivers Are Again Paying More Than $5 a Gallon for Diesel
American drivers are once again paying more than $5 a gallon for diesel, with a fresh round of hostilities in the Middle East raising the specter of more war-induced inflation.
July 29, 2026
Russian forces hammer Ukrainian long-range UAV storage sites in past day
The Ukrainian army lost roughly 1,450 troops in battles with Russian forces in all the frontline areas over the past 24 hours
July 29, 2026
Pollock left on bench as England field unchanged starting XV against Argentina
Hat-trick against Fiji insufficient to promote No 8 Borthwick expects ‘fantastic atmosphere’ for game England have opted not to start the in-form Henry Pollock against Argentina on Saturday and have instead retained an unchanged starting lineup. The only alterations from last week’s 73-8 win over Fiji are among the replacements where Ben Spencer and the uncapped Northampton loosehead Emmanuel Iyogun come into the matchday 23. Even an eye-catching hat-trick of tries in Liverpool has proved insufficient to earn Pollock a promotion from the bench for this month’s third and final round of Nations Championship fixtures. The head coach, Steve Borthwick, has chosen to stick with Ben Earl at No 8 and Guy Pepper at openside flanker, with Bristol’s Benhard van Rensburg and Saracens’ Noah Caluori once again handed roles as impact subs. Continue reading...
July 29, 2026
The Secret Garden review – thoughtful adaptation takes root in the imagination
The Egg, Bath The beloved children’s perennial is the basis for a celebration of craft, creativity and the beauty of the natural world in this charming puppetry production The Egg theatre celebrates its 20th anniversary with Tom Wentworth’s thoughtful but fitful adaptation of Frances Hodgson Burnett’s beloved book . As Mary and her friends nurture their secret garden, animal puppets play amid the audience and flowers pop up across a green-washed stage. It’s all very charming – particularly when Cat Rock’s beautiful puppets skip, soar and dart around the theatre. There’s a plucky robin, a majestic owl and a ridiculously lovable fluffy lamb. All the puppets are frayed around the edges with the original fabric exposed; a celebration of craft and creation just as much as the beauty of the natural world. The puppets are complemented by a striking design from Kat Heath and evocative music from composer Ben Osborn. The Yorkshire Moors around Misselthwaite Manor, where Mary is sent after being orphaned, are brought to life using curtains of fabric and giant gloves with long spindly fingers, worn by actors and swaying wildly in the wind. It’s quite unusual work, which sometimes makes the young audience giggle but gradually takes a hold of the imagination. Continue reading...
July 29, 2026
11 Best Sleeping Bags (2026): Ultralight, Warm Weather, for Kids
Whether you’re climbing peaks or taking the family to the local park, we’ve found the best sleeping bags for every temperature, budget, and camping expedition.
July 29, 2026
Iran claims strikes on US bases, warns of wider attacks on region
Iran claims strikes on US bases, warns of wider attacks on region
July 29, 2026
More than 800 Canadian wildfires burning as air quality alerts extend to US
The air quality in large parts of Michigan, Minneapolis and Minnesota is deemed "hazardous" by authorities.
July 29, 2026
Why you should care about World Cup third-place play-off
It might feel like the last thing anyone wants right now - but here is why, actually, you do want to watch the World Cup's third-place play-off.
July 29, 2026
SPCA hit with backlash after wading into mainland Chinese dog-killing case
An animal welfare charity has apologised after facing a backlash for asking Hong Kong police to help remove videos of a dog and its pups being killed in mainland China, with the group accused of undermining efforts to raise public awareness of the case. The Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Animals (SPCA) issued the apology on Wednesday night after social media users argued that taking down the videos would suppress evidence. The footage circulating online appeared to show at least four...
July 29, 2026
Macron vows to replant Fontainebleau forest after devastating wildfires
French President Emmanuel Macron on Thursday vowed to replant Fontainebleau forest after devastating wildfires blazed through at least 10% of the 20,000 hectare demain and forced hundreds of residents to flee. The historic forest, just south of Paris, draws hikers, climbers and nature lovers from all over the world every year.
July 29, 2026
‘Destroyed my whole life’: Lebanese families wiped out in Israeli attacks
Hussein Saleh describes an Israeli air attack in Tyre that killed his family, including his wife and his only child.
July 29, 2026
Venezuela’s recovery clouded by uncertainty three weeks after earthquake
In Venezuela, the focus has shifted from rescue to rebuilding three weeks after devastating earthquakes.
July 29, 2026
Why did Manchester United pay Chelsea £48m for Andrey Santos?
Michael Carrick’s first signing is a surprise, but the Brazil midfielder will help the team deal with Casemiro’s exit By Opta Analyst Andrey Santos moving from Chelsea to Manchester United was not on our summer transfer window bingo card, but the Brazilian has become Michael Carrick’s first signing . United desperately needed reinforcements in midfield, especially after Casemiro’s departure and Manuel Ugarte’s long-term injury , so deals for Santos and Youri Tielemans will be welcomed by fans. Tielemans looks like particularly good business – he captains Belgium, has made 244 appearances in the Premier League and was available for £35m – but Santos is a more curious choice. He was often a backup player for Chelsea last season as they finished seven places and 19 points behind United; he is not the finished article, and played for one of United’s rivals. Since Alex Ferguson retired 13 years ago, United had only signed four players from their “big six” rivals: Juan Mata, Nemanja Matic, Mason Mount (all Chelsea) and Alexis Sánchez (Arsenal). Continue reading...
July 29, 2026
Lando Norris hit with 10-place grid penalty for Belgian Grand Prix
McLaren’s changes of power unit exceeds regulations World champion is fifth in the F1 standings Lando Norris will have to take a 10-place grid penalty at this weekend’s Belgian Grand Prix. McLaren announced on Thursday that the car of the reigning world champion will be fitted with a fourth power electronics unit of the season, one more than allowed under Formula One regulations. Norris’s first two units suffered “terminal” issues in China in March, where he did not start the race, then in free practice in Monaco last month. Continue reading...
July 29, 2026
24m tune in to watch England-Argentina
England's defeat to Argentina in the World Cup semi-final attracts an audience of 24 million on the BBC.
July 29, 2026
Utility Warns Blast at South Africa Water Plant to Hit Supply
An explosion on power lines that feed a key water-pumping hub risks cutting supply to parts of South Africa’s commercial hub of Johannesburg and key platinum- and gold-mining towns to the city’s west, the continent’s biggest bulk-water supplier said.
July 29, 2026
US Stock Futures Today: AtaiBeckley, GE Aerospace, UnitedHealth
S&P 500 Index futures are down 0.2% as of 7:47 a.m. in New York. The US intensified strikes against Iran, hitting an oil tanker near the country’s main export terminal for the first time since the restart of the blockade on the Islamic Republic’s ports.
July 29, 2026