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Social··Severity 7

Russian air defenses down over 6,000 Ukrainian drones over past week — top brass

According to the Russian Defense Ministry, since the start of the special military operation, Russian forces have destroyed a total of 674 Ukrainian aircraft, 284 helicopters and 227,730 unmanned aerial vehicles

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

39%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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