Geopolitical··Severity 8
Andrew Bailey warns of populist threat to central bank independence
Bank of England governor says claims by some political leaders that rate-setters are ‘an unrepresentative elite’ pose ‘serious challenge’
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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