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Geopolitical··Severity 9

Is Russia Escalating? George Friedman Breaks Down the Threat

It’s been an interesting few days for US-Russia relations. On this episode of Talking Geopolitics, GPF Chairman George Friedman joins host Christian Smith to discuss the CIA Director’s trip to Moscow, the drone plot in Germany, and reports of Russia’s help in an Iranian advanced weapons program. What does a threat assessment of Russia reveal about these tactical and diplomatic shifts? What are the impacts on European security, US-Russia relations, and future peace in Ukraine? Also: Nuclear deterrence and Cold War lessons. The post Is Russia Escalating? George Friedman Breaks Down the Threat appeared first on Geopolitical Futures .

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

77%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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