Military··Severity 8
Iran hits US military targets in the region as Washington probes deadly wedding strike
Oil prices again spiked this week after a few weeks of relative stability following the renewed fighting as Iran continues to maintain a stranglehold over the strategic Strait of Hormuz, responsible for roughly 20% of global oil shipping.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
84%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Euronews
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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