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Natural··Severity 7

Nepal’s Floods Upset Its China-India Balancing Act

Trade infrastructure was swept away. Nepal’s trade with China, which was already limited, will be further restricted after the August 26 floods.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

52%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: The Diplomat

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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