Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iranian oil tanker hit in US missile attack near Kharg Island
An Iranian tanker was hit by US forces on Saturday near Iran's key oil export hub, Kharg Island, in the Gulf, the semi-official Iranian news agency Tasnim reported.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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