Geopolitical··Severity 8
Middle East live: Israeli strikes on south and east Lebanon kill three people
Israeli strikes in southern and eastern Lebanon late on Friday killed at least three people and wounded 23 more despite a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese health ministry said. The ministry said in a statement that strikes hit five locations in the southern Tyre and Nabatieh regions and the Beqaa region in the east. Follow our liveblog for all the latest developments.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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