Geopolitical··Severity 8
War in Ukraine: Putin, Zelensky order pause in strikes
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Saturday ordered a 72-hour pause in strikes on Kyiv as US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner arrived in Moscow.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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