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Geopolitical··Severity 8

West refuses to admit its mistake, continues to fan flames of war — Fico

Further militarization, increased tensions, and the possibility of a global conflict could be a recipe for political survival for many politicians who are unable to adequately respond to the economic downturn, Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico said

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

57%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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