Geopolitical··Severity 9
Russian forces attack Ukraine with missiles and drones, strikes recorded at 23 locations
Russian forces launched ballistic missiles and 167 drones overnight, with Ukrainian air defences destroying or jamming 128 drones and strikes recorded at 23 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
79%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%
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