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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Iran will declare a ‘prohibited zone’ near Hormuz in coming days: security chief

Iran’s top security chief Mohsen Rezaei on Sunday said his country would establish a “prohibited zone” near the strategic Strait of Hormuz, state media reported. “In the coming days, a prohibited zone will be announced outside the Strait of Hormuz. This zone will start from the US Navy’s blockade line and include areas of the Persian Gulf. Any ship entering this new zone will be placed on the sanctions list” of Iran, Rezaei told state television. Also on Sunday, Iranian authorities said they...

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: South China Morning Post

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%

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